Managerial Ability, Earnings Quality, and Future Performance

Eshaq M. Al Shaar, Nidal O. Zalloum, Shadi A. Khattab, Tasneem Fayez ِAlfalah

Abstract


This paper investigates Algeria's main export volatility drivers via a regression model. The methodology involves the construction and estimation of an econometric model. In this model, the annual time series from 1992 to 2016 is used to estimate the impact of export structure and product concentration on the size of export volatility. The results reveal that export volatility in Algeria is high, and this is due to the growing percentage of consumer and raw material exports. The increasing size of exports is also an essential determinant of volatility. The findings indicate a need to reduce the reliance on primary exports while policymakers should diversify the export basket to reduce export volatility.


Keywords


Export volatility, Exports composition, Exports product concentration

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